Part 3/10:
The Impact of Supreme Court Decisions and Gerrymandering
Another critical factor shaping the electoral landscape concerns potential Supreme Court rulings on districting laws. There are widespread predictions that the Court will strike down race-based districting programs, a move that could drastically reshape congressional boundaries.
Currently, Democrats are estimated to benefit from racial gerrymandering, with as many as 20 extra seats in the House attributed to this practice. If the Supreme Court rules against these race-based districts, Democrats could face severe losses—up to 20 seats or more—effectively wiping out their previous advantages in certain regions.