Part 5/9:
This simple compounding calculation indicates that, if Tesla maintains a consistent 50% annual growth rate, reaching 20 million by 2030 is mathematically feasible. Of course, in reality, growth will likely slow as Tesla's market share increases, and scaling becomes more complex, but the fundamental math challenges the idea that such a target is categorically impossible.
The Reality of Growth Dynamics
While the math supports the possibility, many factors will influence whether Tesla can sustain such explosive growth:
Market saturation and EV adoption rates.
Technological and supply chain constraints.
The emerging landscape of robotaxi services and autonomous driving.
Market share gains versus the total EV market expansion.