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A Complex Battlefield: Ceasefire and Strategic Outlook in Gaza and Beyond

Israel and Hamas Reach a Fragile Ceasefire

After more than two years of intense conflict, Israel and Hamas have announced a tentative agreement on a phased ceasefire, marking a critical — yet uncertain — pause in the ongoing war. This development includes a significant hostage and prisoner swap, brokered through diplomatic efforts involving the United States, Egypt, and Qatar. The initial phase commits Hamas to releasing all remaining Israeli hostages, while Israel begins a partial military withdrawal from Gaza to a mutually agreed boundary.