Part 11/12:
While the current ceasefire might prevent immediate escalation, the peace remains fragile, contingent upon hostage return, deployment of aid, and the disarmament of Hamas. China's and regional actors’ roles remain ambiguous, and the Biden administration’s approach of maintaining a strong military posture coupled with diplomatic pressures reflects the strategic calculus of stabilizing the region while not conceding ground.
The Endgame: Will This Last?
Ultimately, the question remains—will this ceasefire be a stepping stone toward peace or just a temporary halt? Analysts agree that unless core issues like disarmament and governance are addressed, Hamas's survival will continue to serve as a source of recurring conflict, with regional powers like Iran backing its resilience.