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A critical element in ending the conflict centers on undermining Vladimir Putin’s “theory of victory.” Putin’s approach hinges on the idea that Russia can grind down Ukraine through small tactical victories, gradually accumulating operational successes that culminate in strategic triumphs. This concept relies heavily on the belief in a gradual, persistent advance despite logistical and tactical setbacks.
To stop this progression, the key is to invalidate Putin’s strategic calculus. This involves stopping the Russian army in its tracks—preventing the small infiltrations and tactical breakthroughs they rely on. Essentially, Ukraine needs to cripple Russia’s ability to make forward progress tactically.