Part 8/12:
Iran’s Strategic Miscalculations and Regional Power Dynamics
Franceman highlights Iran’s recent overreach, which backfired spectacularly. Despite decades of anti-Western rhetoric and efforts to expand its sphere of influence through proxies, Tehran’s gamble with its militia networks and missile arsenal has left it vulnerable. Israeli successes in surveying and outmaneuvering Iranian-backed groups underscore a strategic shift in the region.
Meanwhile, Russia’s influence wanes as its alliance with Syria falters following the loss of Assad’s control and the diminished role of Iranian allies. Vladimir Putin faces constraints, notably his fears of arrest given the ICC’s warrant, which further isolates Russia in Middle Eastern affairs.