Part 9/10:
The consensus leans toward the idea that only when Russia faces insurmountable military losses or economic devastation will Putin be compelled to negotiate. In this context, a sustained and coordinated effort to cut off Russia’s energy exports, combined with unwavering support for Ukraine, might force Moscow to reconsider.
Potential Scenarios for 2024
Looking a year ahead, the outlook appears uncertain but perhaps predictable: a protracted conflict, with occasional escalations and pauses, unless significant strategic shifts occur. The strategic importance of economic sanctions, military aid, and diplomatic pressure remains at the core of ongoing efforts.