Part 7/9:
The analyst underscores that the outcome of the war hinges significantly on Western support for Ukraine. If Western nations maintain or increase their aid—both military and economic—this could tip the scales against Russia’s ongoing campaign. Conversely, if Western resolve weakens or if economic sanctions and energy restrictions are eased, Russia might interpret this as a signal that further effort is unnecessary or unwinnable.
Putin’s strategy does not seem to include diplomatic resolutions at this stage. He does not recognize Zelensky’s government and shows no inclination for negotiated settlement. The war is viewed as a quest for strategic gains, internal and external, grounded in the belief that as long as the West remains hesitant or divided, he can sustain the conflict indefinitely.