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Satellite imagery indicates Melissa is wobbling slightly westward, a movement that could prolong its over-water time and further intensify the storm. Its slow pace—moving at just 1 to 2 mph—means Jamaica and surrounding areas are in imminent danger.
Forecast Trajectory and Timing
Meteorologists forecast that Melissa will remain a Category 5 storm until early Tuesday morning, around 2:00 a.m., as it nears Jamaica. Landfall is expected sometime early Tuesday, likely between Alligator Pond and Savannah Lamar, in the early hours. The movement pattern suggests the storm will impact the southern side of Jamaica most severely, with the Kingston region potentially experiencing somewhat lesser winds but facing catastrophic flooding risks from intense rainfall.