Part 6/9:
Therefore, Xi’s current moderation may be an attempt to avoid escalating conflicts prematurely and to keep open avenues for diplomacy. However, this cautious approach is fragile. Given that Xi has established numerous markers that define his legitimacy domestically and internationally, any perceived retreat could undermine his authority and credibility.
The Challenges of Balancing Assertiveness and Diplomacy
Xi Jinping faces a difficult balancing act. His commitment to nationalistic and often aggressive foreign policies—characterized by “wolf warrior diplomacy”—limits flexibility. The environment where only hostile responses are accepted leaves little room for diplomatic nuance, increasing the risk of unintended escalation.