Part 3/15:
Polls further reflect this downturn, with Fox News reporting that Mdani’s lead over Andrew Cuomo has narrowed from 20 to just 10 points, now standing at 44-34. These polls, though not always definitive, are backed by prediction markets which now indicate less confidence in Mdani outperforming expectations. The markets have shifted from a 50-50 chance of underperformance to a less optimistic 41%, suggesting growing skepticism about Mdani’s position.