Part 4/8:
Polls suggest that Stefanik is gaining ground statewide, not just in traditionally conservative areas but even in what are considered Democratic strongholds like Queens and parts of Brooklyn. Voters appear to be frustrated with the current Democratic leadership, especially on crime and state authority issues, making Stefanik's populist, law-and-order message appealing.
A particularly striking aspect is the polling data showing Stefanik leading Hochul in certain regions, a potential indication of a larger shift away from Democratic dominance in the state. The Manhattan Institute's data shows Stefanik in the lead by a margin that, while currently narrow, could expand as more voters rally behind her.