Part 9/11:
Looking further ahead, experts are asked to speculate on the trajectory of the conflict in six months. If the U.S. enacts policies that enhance Ukraine’s strike capabilities, this could catalyze a strategic rebalancing on the battlefield. It might lead to more assertive Ukrainian operations, potentially turning the tide in certain regions and forcing Russia to reconsider its military tactics.
However, such an escalation also carries risks. Increased cross-border strikes could provoke a broader escalation or retaliation, potentially drawing NATO into a wider conflict. Therefore, policymakers must weigh the tactical benefits against the strategic risks involved.