Part 8/11:
Election analysts emphasize the importance of high-propensity voters—those who reliably vote in every election—turning out in droves. The current polling and early voting data suggest that the Republican effort to mobilize these reliable voters is gaining momentum. If the Republican turnout surpasses Democratic by a significant margin—say, 60-40—that could be enough to tip the scales in Jack Chidarelli’s favor.
However, Democrats still hold an advantage in voter registration and have deployed significant resources to defend their turf, including high-profile endorsements and endorsements from former President Obama. Yet, the fact that a once-safe Democratic seat is now a toss-up reveals a troubling trend for the party, which has relied on New Jersey’s long-standing blue status.