Part 6/12:
A groundbreaking study from January—hidden from mainstream headlines—comprises input from over 2,700 AI researchers worldwide. Their consensus? Full automation of all jobs is conceivable within this century. The study suggested that, across various fields, nearly every role—be it truck drivers, writers, or scientists—could see automation "somewhere in the 2020s or 2030s."
McCoy expresses confidence that the pace will be even faster due to exponential improvements in AI capabilities. She underscores how breakthroughs like GPT-4, developed just three years after GPT-3, defy earlier expectations of a 50-year horizon for such advances. Each new wave of computing power rapidly pushes the boundaries of what AI can do, making the complete automation of many jobs a near-term reality.