Part 4/10:
Aschenbrenner posits that the convergence of increased compute power and algorithmic advancements could lead to Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) by around 2027-2028. The capability to run ten-gigawatt data centers would bring us into the realm of superintelligence—an AI that can perform any intellectual task a human can.
He predicts a short timeline from the harnessing of such vast compute resources to the explosion of AI capabilities—what he terms an intelligence explosion. Once the necessary infrastructure is available, the leap to superintelligence could occur rapidly, potentially within just a year or two after the critical power threshold.