Part 5/12:
Julie underscores the unprecedented acceleration of AI development. The release of ChatGPT in late 2022 stunned many by its ability to generate human-like code and content. Advances have been so rapid that foundational models behind generative AI have been improving for over a decade, with capabilities doubling every six months—a phenomenon described as super exponential growth.
Key figures like Geoffrey Hinton, a pioneer in deep learning, now believe AGI—a machine capable of understanding and performing any task a human can—could emerge within 5 to 20 years. Some experts suggest it might happen sooner, leading to profound shifts in society. The question is: how soon and how drastically?