Part 10/16:
The speaker dismisses this as a false dichotomy, emphasizing that we are, in fact, developing precursor technologies today. Unlike nuclear weapons, which have leap-like thresholds, AI development involves incremental progress. Each step toward higher intelligence is build-up, making sudden, black-or-white scenarios unrealistic. The idea that there's only "one shot" reflects a misunderstanding of how scientific and technological progress occurs—gradually, with multiple, iterative advancements.