Part 12/19:
But, the evidence suggests otherwise: hardware efficiency has grown exponentially, with AI chips improving by factors of thousands over the last decade. For example, the gigaflops per watt metric shows this explosive improvement. If this trend continues (and the data suggests it will), then powerful AI systems could become available at consumer prices within less than a decade, possibly even on home GPUs.
The potential for parabolic or hyperbolic growth—growth that accelerates beyond simple exponential—raises the specter of an accelerating AI future. The possibility of hitting infinite growth in processing capacity remains, though such models are speculative.