Part 6/10:
A crucial aspect of the upcoming vote is Musk’s own voting power. Unlike the 2018 scenario, where his shares did not count toward approval, it appears Musk can now vote his approximately 13.5% stake in Tesla. This inclusion significantly boosts the likelihood of the package’s approval since the vote is closely tied to shareholder sentiment.
Analysts estimate that the measure has a high probability—around 83-85%—of passing. This confidence stems from recent voting patterns, a strong retail shareholder turnout, and Musk’s strategic influence. The previous vote saw about 73% approval, a margin that, even with anticipated deviations, suggests a comfortable majority this time, especially considering Musk’s voting rights.