Part 9/11:
Further, the timing relative to Q3 earnings is crucial. A launch prior to earnings (October 16th or 17th) might increase hype without adding pressure to quarterly results, while a post-earnings release could delay the stock’s momentum.
Risks and Considerations
While the picture appears bullish, potential risks include:
Supply chain or production issues that could delay or diminish the impact of the launch.
A disappointing price point if Tesla cannot reduce costs sufficiently to reach the $30,000–$35,000 target.
Market macro risks, such as sector-wide corrections or macroeconomic shocks, especially around the Fed’s meeting scheduled for October 29th.
PR missteps or a poorly executed event that fails to excite investors.