Part 9/14:
- Gradual learning: Tesla can fine-tune operations across a diverse set of markets, improving deployment efficiency.
Modeling the Numbers: A Conservative Yet Optimistic Forecast
To quantify these strategies, a detailed simulator was developed, modeling the expected fleet growth, miles driven, and corresponding cash flows. Initial estimates predict that by December, only around 700 robo taxis would be deployed—significantly fewer than previously anticipated. Meanwhile, the miles driven are expected to reach 600 million by the end of next year, a substantial increase from the 7,000 miles logged in recent months.