Part 4/10:
Central to the analysis is the anticipation of near-term catalysts that could propel Tesla's stock upward. These include:
Release of affordable models: Announced to debut in the first half of this year, the end of that period now suggests rapid forthcoming availability, serving as a strong catalyst for stock appreciation.
Continued robo taxi scaling: Tesla’s deployment of robo taxis is the core focus. The potential rapid increase in robo taxi units—moving from approximately 20-30 today towards 1,800-2,000—could trigger a “forcing function,” where revenue from robo taxis accounting for around 5% of Tesla’s free cash flow becomes a crucial tipping point. Once this threshold is crossed, Wall Street analysts will likely aggressively revalue Tesla, sending the stock soaring.