Part 2/6:
The speaker casts doubt on the efficacy of current predictive models, expressing skepticism that they could accurately forecast such complex, multi-front conflicts. There is an implication that these models may underestimate the chaos or the contingency plans of adversaries, leaving the US and NATO in a reactive rather than proactive stance. The speaker emphasizes that history should inform our strategies — particularly, the importance of maintaining a robust and flexible military deployment capable of rapid response.