Part 12/15:
Bitcoin's performance depends heavily on macroeconomic conditions. When economic growth accelerates, Bitcoin can rally, but during periods of slowdown or risk aversion, it tends to weaken or move sideways. The current environment—with slowing PMI growth and uncertain inflation trajectories—suggests Bitcoin may face headwinds unless a catalyst, such as renewed risk appetite, emerges.
The analyst expects a moderate outlook for Bitcoin this year—avoiding severe crashes like 80-85% corrections seen previously—favoring steadier growth driven by a combination of portfolio diversification, inflation hedging, and supply constraints. A "dry tinder" environment exists where a sudden surge could occur if demand picks up suddenly, but overall, patience and disciplined accumulation are advised.