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The stark reality is that Wish may not only underperform relative to past Disney hits but could also struggle to surpass Napoleon, Ridley Scott's historical epic, which is unexpectedly leading the holiday race with an estimated $36 to $37 million over the five days. Meanwhile, The Hunger Games prequel continues to hold steady, helping it remain competitive even in a challenging market.
As of now, projections are slipping further, with some sources indicating Wish's box office might be closer to Encanto-level numbers rather than the blockbuster success Disney aimed for. The film could even fall behind Napoleon, marking a particularly discouraging outcome for Disney's animated lineup.