Part 6/9:
To break even, Wish would need to generate roughly $550-600 million worldwide, considering marketing and distribution costs. With an opening of approximately $37 million domestically and potential international markets bringing in about $25 million—totaling an estimated $75 million globally—the film might struggle to reach that breakeven point.
For context, recent Disney releases such as Elemental had strong international legs but still failed to turn a profit, ultimately losing money for the studio. The comparison suggests that unless Wish exhibits extraordinary longevity and audience support, profitability remains uncertain.