Part 14/16:
One of the most promising signs is a rapid decline in inflation. Data from sources like Trueflation signal a potential 5% drop in CPI over the coming quarters, aligning with historical precedents such as the 2008 financial crisis. This acceleration of disinflation suggests that inflationary pressures are easing faster than expected, possibly heralding a new macroeconomic environment.
However, the situation in the UK is starkly different. Recent figures reveal a surge in “true inflation”—already over 17%—more than quadruple the 2021 levels. Such disparities underscore the divergent inflationary experiences across economies, driven by currency devaluations and policy choices.