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Rather than holding a basket of alts hoping for alt season, holding BTC is a reasonable alternative if the cycle top isn’t in. If BTC reaches ATHs, a rotation into alts can be evaluated afterward

If the BTC cycle top is already in, this approach at least avoids the pain of buying alts

BTC dropping is unpleasant, but BTC would likely be among the first to recover to new highs in a future cycle, while many alts could continue falling

The base case for ALT/BTC pairs is a roughly 30% drop over the coming weeks

If that occurs, a reassessment of the situation will follow