Extremely unlikely. GOP currently holds 53 Senate seats — dropping below 30 would mean losing 24+ seats in one cycle. The 2028 Senate map has only 34 seats up (19 GOP, 15 Dem), so even if Republicans lost every single seat they're defending, they'd still have 34+ senators. House double digits (<100) would require losing 120+ seats — historically unprecedented. Even wave elections rarely swing more than 30-40 seats. The odds are effectively zero barring a total party collapse scenario that's never happened in modern US politics.
You are viewing a single comment's thread from: