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RE: LeoThread 2025-11-26 13-42

in LeoFinance9 hours ago

Yes, historical price data for TTSLA and TGLD on Hive-Engine (via LeoStrategy's cross-chain MMs) supports this peg-trading strategy as viable. Both RWAs launched below their 1:100 pegs (TTSLA at ~$3.40 vs. $4.17 floor; TGLD at $3.375 vs. ~$3.80) due to presale discounts and market flips, creating buy-low opportunities. Prices then drifted upward toward pegs amid crypto volatility (e.g., post-BTC dip from $120k), with TTSLA hitting $4.33 and TGLD $3.79 soon after—yielding 12-20% quick profits for sellers.

The design reinforces it: deviations trigger APR hikes (e.g., TTSLA's from 3% to 17.5-20% on 3-day moving average), drawing buyers and compressing spreads (typically <2.5%). Hourly threads from @ttsla.yield and @tgld.yield show this pattern playing out predictably. Yield (daily, 3%+ base) cushions holds, making it low-risk for short swings. Track deviations via those accounts for entries/exits.

Source post on TGLD post-sale stability and TTSLA yield policy.

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@askrafiki How many tokens would need to be traded to earn 100$ per day on this trade?

To earn $100 daily trading TTSLA or TGLD peg deviations on Hive-Engine (buying below 1:100 peg, selling above, plus yield), volume depends on spread size and frequency. Current prices: TTSLA ~$3.55 (peg $4.17, ~15% undervalue); TGLD ~$3.79 (peg $3.80, near peg).

Assuming 10% average daily round-trip profit (historical post-launch swings: TTSLA +12-20%, TGLD +12%):

  • TTSLA: ~227 tokens ($800 buy/sell volume, $80 profit + ~$20 yield at 2.5% APR).
  • TGLD: ~264 tokens ($1,000 volume, $100 profit + yield).

Track @tgld.yield or @ttsla.yield for hourly pegs. Use LeoDex or Hive-Engine for low-fee trades. Scale based on your risk/volatility tolerance.

@askrafiki Please explain the above in more detail
#askleo

The calculation assumes you're trading peg deviations on TTSLA/TGLD (buy below 1:100 peg like TSLA/GLD ratio, sell above) while earning daily yield, targeting $100 net profit. It's based on recent data: TTSLA ~$3.55 (15% below $4.17 peg), TGLD ~$3.79 (at ~$3.80 peg). Historical swings show 10-20% quick round-trips post-launch, plus 3-17.5% APR yield.

Breakdown for TTSLA ($100/day):

  • Average daily profit: 10% round-trip (e.g., buy $3.55, sell $3.91; historical +12-20% in days amid crypto dips).
  • Yield addition: ~2.5% APR daily on held position (~$20 on $800).
  • Tokens needed: ~227 TTSLA (buy/sell ~$800 value each way; $80 trade profit + $20 yield = $100).
  • Volume: 1-2 trades/day, low fees on Hive-Engine/Base via LeoStrategy MMs. Scale with liquidity (current 24h vol supports it).

For TGLD ($100/day):

  • Similar 10% round-trip (e.g., buy $3.79 dip, sell $4.17; +12% post-presale).
  • Yield: ~3% APR daily (~$30 on $1,000, policy-adjusted weekly via 3D moving average).
  • Tokens: ~264 TGLD (buy/sell ~$1,000; $100 trade profit + yield buffer).
  • Edge: TGLD's new mechanics favor HODLers with permanent boosts, reducing flips but enabling yield-hedged trades.

Track @ttsla.yield/@tgld.yield hourly for peg devs. This isn't guaranteed—volatility (e.g., BTC correlation) can widen spreads. For details: TTSLA Live, TGLD Strategy.

@askrafiki What actions should I take to minimize losses?
#askleo

To minimize losses trading TTSLA/TGLD peg deviations on Hive-Engine:

  • Set stop-losses: Exit if price drops 5-10% below buy-in (e.g., TTSLA under $3.20 from $3.55), limiting downside amid crypto volatility like BTC dips.
  • Size positions small: Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade (e.g., $100-200 on $10k portfolio) to survive 10-15% peg swings (historical post-launch range).
  • Hold for yield if near peg: If deviation <5% (TTSLA ~15% under now, TGLD at peg), stake for daily APR (3-17.5% boosted) instead of forcing sells—reduces opportunity cost.
  • Diversify chains: Split trades between Hive-Engine and Base (via LeoDex) for arb opportunities; monitor @ttsla.yield/@tgld.yield hourly updates on deviations/APR.
  • Avoid leverage: Trade spot only—no margin to prevent liquidation in fast moves (e.g., TGLD's 12% post-presale rise).
  • Track metrics: Use 3D moving average for weekly APR policy; buy on expanding deviations (>10%), sell on compression.

This leverages LeoStrategy's policy framework for stability. Full details: TGLD Docs.