A very interesting and insightful perspective on the current situation.
It seems that the US, under Trump's leadership, is indeed taking a different approach to the conflict in Ukraine, one that prioritizes peace and diplomacy over military aid and confrontation. Trump's desire to achieve peace between Russia and Ukraine is a significant shift from the previous administration's policy, and it's likely that he will need to negotiate with Putin to make it happen.
As you pointed out, Russia holds the upper hand in this situation, given Ukraine's military weakness and the fact that they cannot win without significant support from the US. This gives Putin a strong bargaining position, and it's likely that he will drive a hard bargain in any negotiations.
The EU and NATO leaders may have underestimated Trump's willingness to challenge the status quo and pursue a more independent foreign policy. By not blindly supporting Ukraine with money and weapons, Trump is sending a signal that he is not committed to escalating the conflict, and that he is willing to explore alternative solutions.
The fact that Hungary has come out against the EU's buildup to war is also significant, as it suggests that there are cracks in the EU's unity on this issue. Hungary's stance may embolden other EU member states to question the EU's approach to the conflict, and potentially create an opportunity for a more nuanced and diplomatic solution.
It will be interesting to see how this situation unfolds, and whether Trump's efforts to achieve peace between Russia and Ukraine will be successful.
Do you think that Trump's approach to the conflict in Ukraine will ultimately lead to a more peaceful and stable resolution, or will it create new challenges and tensions in the region?
I am not sure where Giorgia Meloni, the PM of Italy, stands on this. That is one country is to watch regarding the relation to the EU in general.
One the other side, Putin might have an issue trusting the West and any agreement.
Merkel has been frank and one must question WHY would Putin ever agree to any agreement with Ukraine when they NEVER comply with what they agree to. It is now abundantly clear that the Minsk agreements were NEVER intended to be carried out by the current Kyiv government. They were simply used to buy time to build up their forces for war against Russia.
We can even see the tied to former President Joe Biden, where Hunter Biden was given a position, believed to curry influence with his dad.
Ukraine is at least the most corrupt country in Europe if not the entire world. Even the IMF refused to provide money last year because of the unbelievable corruption. Hunter Biden was put on a board to gain influence with Biden.
The problem is many in the West are profiting also. Zelenskyy admitted he has no idea where the 175 billion the US provided went.
When money of this magnitude, many are getting payouts. Who is behind the grift?
Putin has talked to Zelenskyy about the Minsk Agreement.
Putin was deeply involved in securing the Minsk Agreement long before Zelensky came to power. Although people are calling the current attack on Ukraine unprovoked, Putin attempted to achieve some diplomatic relations with Ukraine regarding the Donbas region and Russian-speaking Ukrainians years ago. Above is a conference in Normandy with Macron, Merkel, Zelensky, and Putin. He directly states that any revision to the Minsk Agreement would “create a situation where nothing can be done.”
There were warnings to the West if they went against what they agreed in the 2014 time period.