For an example that is easy to visualize, if two obese parents have a child, the likelihood that the child is going to be obese is very high and since being overweight is correlated to many other issues across the physical, mental and emotional planes, predictions can be made. But, predictions are going to look at averages, meaning that it isn't guaranteed that a child born to overweight parents will be overweight too - just likely. But people will use the exceptions to the average as evidence that the average is incorrect.
Poker. The ultimate skill is not the cards dealt but the way the other players react to the perceived averages of their cards. Many will throw out the known percentages when faced with the possibility of 'easy money'. This is an observation based on my reaction as I read it, not in context of the whole article.
Turns out the observation was at least partly correct. Really top end players are really top end players all the time and their averages reflect that. I remember a verified experiment with on line poker where a top player entered a tournament with out being able to see anything but her cards. She bet the cards as dealt and won a large tournament fairly handily.
The question we all need to answer is 'what do you provide' not 'what do you do'. Everybody can provide something but not all skills are salable OR developed enough to provide return. A line from an old movie "You can bet your ass that the last buggy whip maker in the US made the best damn buggy whip ever built. But when buggies and horses went away so did their business."
People are always looking for the shortcut to wealth, most end up taking the long way round, never reaching where they set out for.
@theycallmedan is an ex-poker player and I think it helps him have an edge in predicting the future. As most people realize, he doesn't take the shortcuts.
Yes, and I think it is going to be easier (in time) to organize value into where it is earned. At the moment, there is a lot of mismatch, especially in the management levels. where value might be disproportionately rewarded.
It is going to be an interesting and strange future, looking through the lens we have today.