If we were back in the 80s... that mentality, and that time of growth of production
and plopped the declining birth rate of today, we could come to many conclusion like Musk discusses.
However, things are not
Nothing is the same.
There will not be a "normal" for at least 50 more years.
So, the 80s and 90s put off the great problem of high production manufacturing by introducing planned obsolescence. Both in the products and the marketing.
What a different world it would be if we had plowed that money into much better housing and infrastructure instead of filling land fills... but we didn't.
Soooo
What we are facing is a huge die off over the next decade.
On top of that, the hedonistic ways of women will/have resulted in decreased ability to get pregnant as a species.
Enter the ice-age and "modern"-farming-failure.
Just when we need more food from the places that can still grow it, we are going to see a crash as soils just will not grow our monoculture crops any more.
So, we are going to see a die off of more than 50% world wide.
Unless we stop these useless wars, kill off the Davos group now, and start working on preparing for the ice-age.
We are still coming out of the last ice-age. As the planet warms there will be a lot more arable land for farming.
You are right and climate is long term.
However, we are in a spell where things are going to reverse course for a few decades and get cooler. Sun spot activity is going way down with each cycle.
Likely going to get cooler overall into the 2050s and then reverse course again.
As you said the longer term pattern is coming out of the Ice Age.
Posted Using LeoFinance Beta
Sorry, we are entering a mini-ice-age.
Glaciers are starting to form.
The thing is, that an ice-age isn't all about cold.
There is also a heating condition before the plummet into cold.
And then we start getting colder, longer winters and crueller, and shorter summers.
The ice-age people have a model, but unlike the "climate change" people's models, it has been accurate every year.
I'm not aware of any relevant glacier formation that would indicate we won't finish off this tail end of the last ice-age.
It does seem we are heading back for a mini-yet-long-ice-age, as is customary. But that is 100s of years away.
I just want the antarctic to melt to see what is underneath. I think we could see rainforests stretching up to greenland again. Tundra will become hot property.
The Antarctic may continue to melt... it is like the sun goes further south, pulling away from the north.
(we do not know what shape the earth is. We don't know what the sun really is. And we have fucked with history so much we don't even know what year this is. It is about 1200 AD. And this affects our ability to notice the cycles)
We will really know that we are in an ice-age when Canada starts seeing month long ice storms and rivers freezing solid.
ice-age-farmer used to post on here... i think he is on ThemTube still.
He has much better info.
A lot of that is already in the works. Many countries are passed the point that their populations can rebound. They simply do not have the numbers. Then add in other factors and it is going to be a few decades of decline. This stuff takes a generation or two to recound.
The Millennials are already not reproducing at a rate that will replace them so it is another leg down.
Posted Using LeoFinance Beta