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that's bold - basically flat is what you're saying! The stats suggest it I guess.

I'm a little more optimistic about the DEC price - buy orders slightly above that level!

No mention of LAND in your post?!? Surely that's got to be factored in!

I still think that's going to be painful for investors... where's the market going to be for everything that's crafted, I certainly won't be buying, you neither I imagine - the whales are going to be selling to themselves!

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I'm on the conservative side when it comes down to making predictions. I guess the player base doubling while card values hold up can be considered flat. In the end, a couple of people are in control of the printer button and when card prices would go up too much they have all the power to make sure that money mostly flows back to them in one way or another. It's not that I distrust the team, but in the end, they are running a business for profit which has been made very clear with all the decisions that have been made with the game this year.

For as far as the land goes, I think investors will do ok against $ values but will get crushed compared to having put the money for the land into crypto during the time of development. That was basically the entire point of the Land and the pre-sale, devs getting money now to put into crypto just before the 2021 bull run to see their bags pump. I do believe they will put a good part of their gains to good use in a way that benefits the game.

Also, there are so many things that can go wrong. They invested a great concept with the economy which anyone is free to copy and I'm sure many competitors will pop up along the way which might be way more attractive for real gamers.

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Your outlook makes me want to sell my sell my second deck asap. One maxed deck is by far enough. I was already considering before your post but you added salt to the wound. I am way to overinvested into Splinterlands - but I still love this game (although not so much for the actual game but for the ecosystem, the community and the NFTs).

What makes you think that the SPT in-game shop will open around Q2? I didn't see that on the roadmap. They only mentioned that there will be a new way to manage skins but that sounds more like a foundation for a future in-game shop but the actual thing. I doubt they will implement it in 2021.

The land extension will shift dynamics of cards and prices around a lot. I will probably stop lending my main deck away and concentrate 100% on resource farming by sending all my cards into the mines. The question remains where the money for that will come from. If it is only whales serving whales, the longevity is questionable. I remain optimistic that they will adjust what is necessary to improve what they can. But some things seem broken at the core.

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I'm in the same boat with my 2nd account (it's only Level 3 which I barerly play aside from completing the daily quests these days) and I also still love the game more for the entire ecosystem. They have really made something new and interesting and everything is so close to being an actual game both real and casual gamers would enjoy playing. Currently, the target audience is limited to crypto people who are looking to make some money (by investing or grinding, running a bot) and that's about it. It is too much pay2win for real gamers as skill has become a non-factor. It also doesn't offer the initial fun experience for casual mobile gamers to get to the point where they become addicted since both investment requirements and the learning curve are too big at the start.

On the SPT, I guess it's also wishful thinking. They mentioned a couple times in the past during the AMA's that they were planning to integrate SPT as a payment option for cosmetic items possibly using nftshowroom. So when reading the roadmap which stated "In-Game Inventory Management for Avatars & Skins - Q2 2021" I guess it can be assumed that SPT could play a part in that. I don't think they will wait beyond 2021 to start giving SPT more of a function in the entire ecosystem.

I also remain quite optimistic that they will find ways to make it all work so they continue to earn good money while players stay happy as the bubble continues to grow. We are still early on and what they already have is a lot more compared to any other crypto game. The big question remains when to sell and to get out, in the end, there are not that many games from 5+ years ago that still hold up strong today.

Regardless of what happens, I'm looking forward to seeing it all unfold.

The thing about multiple decks is that nowadays ROI probability is not as high as before. Yet new players that join are unaware that the rewards scheme was swayed much better in the past. It has always been like this from the start, early adopters earned the most when they started versus players who started a year later and so forth.
I do think in the long run this helps Splinterlands increase value of its cards with the current rewards system. I noticed many cards that were half of what they are now just about 3-4 months ago. Demand on the cards appear to me increasing.

On the note of selling a secondary deck will definitely help spread the cards to more players and at current prices cards seem to be closer to all time highs, which is an ideal way of trading. Buy low sell high.

The reason cards were half the price 3-4 months ago was because some whales were dumping their entire collection. I also get the sense selling a secondary deck might not be a bad idea at the moment. Then again, who knows how irrational prices will go at some point, especially for cards that are fully printed even though I have a hunch devs will make sure the money flows to them one way or another which istn't even that unfair.

Thanks for sharing! - @ashikstd

You just crushed my hopes and dreams LOL

A lot of people saw the guy from Zynga games partnering /joining with splinterlands and got excited

i bet none of them know of the devs writing bots to cheat on the backend - i'm not saying he had anything to do with it - but here we are with all the f***ing bots AGAIN

i wrote my own bot for myspace mobsters back in the day - that was a lot of fun - maybe i'll see what i can come up with for splinterlands LOL

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