Q2 2026: Tesla builds the first commercial Cybercab for internal use as a Robotaxi in Austin, matching the design shown at the We Robot event. No steering wheel or pedals, fulfilling a longtime enthusiast ideal.
Q3 2026: Cybercab production ramps to ~100 units/week. By then, Tesla will have used roughly 20%–30% of the current 2,500 annual Federal cap on vehicles without steering wheels and pedals.
Q4 2026: Production reaches ~1,500 Cybercabs/week by quarter end, which maxes out the allowance for the year. Regulatory monitoring intensifies while planning allocation of production capacity for Q1 2027.
Q1 2027: A Federal exemption is granted to build additional vehicles without steering wheels and pedals, and 20–30 metro areas are approved for operation across the US. Those areas can absorb ~20,000 Cybercabs and growing.
Q2 2027: To avoid idle capacity, Tesla launches a Cybercab-adjacent vehicle sharing 80%–90% of parts with the Robotaxi Cybercab but fitted with a steering wheel and pedals and a cost-conscious form factor starting around $29k.
Could be a 2-seater or small 2x2 layout, built on the same line and capable of Unsupervised FSD. This preserves the supply chain secured to target ~800k cars/year on the line.
The main selling point: a virtually hassle-free car that doesn’t need to be driven, at ~$500–$600/month including maintenance, charging, insurance, and unsupervised self-driving.
Q3 2027: Strong demand for the new variant keeps the line ramping; configuration switching is feasible based on regulations and regional needs. Production reaches ~8,000 vehicles/week and continues scaling.
Q4 2027: Omar proudly wears the "Farzad Was Right" T-shirt on Christmas and sends a selfie to Farzad to celebrate Tesla's dominance of the transportation market.
The main selling point: a virtually hassle-free car that doesn’t need to be driven, at ~$500–$600/month including maintenance, charging, insurance, and unsupervised self-driving.