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RE: Leo Talk 5/7/21 - Come Join Our Chat (Part 1)

in LeoFinance4 years ago

Food for thought. Buy a house or rent? I would say right now that I would go for renting over buying.

https://leofinance.io/@ph1102/buy-rent-or-rent-to-buy

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I rent. Buying is a bad idea for a few reasons in my opinion.

  • we are in a bubble with housing. It might go higher but will end up having a big pullback.

  • technology is going to change the future cost to build. People getting into 30 years mortgages might have an asset that costs a heap load more than what future building might cost.

  • we are seeing a popping of the artificial urban real estate bubble. This could have huge impacts on prices as people are freer to live where they want and still find sustenance.

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I think the popping is generally only happening on the retail sector right now and I don't think the urban area will be touched for a while. It will be whenever the mortgage crisis takes place and the fed wants the market to go down.

But I do think it will go down eventually.

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Urban areas are already seeing a great deal of exodus and prices in major cities are collapsing.

We will see how it all turns out but I will not be surprised if we see cities as undesirable in 10 years.

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I think this will primarily depend on whether or not the work from home takes off. I think it will but if the going back to work crowd works out, then the cities will still be filled.

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That is true and certainly an area of uncertainty. However look at who is in cities. Companies such as banks and insurance companies occupy a lot of real estate in cities. These are two areas that are under attack in my opinion.

Even the other discussion about lawyers, they occupy a lot of city space in the US. If they are seriously reduced, that will free up a lot of space.

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Right now its the small offices that are in demand. As things go virtual I expect it to go down as well. But the problem is if prices will go down or will the reach buy up everything or are we forced to rent from the rich?

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They do that with market cycles anyway. Who do you think buys all the stuff from the banks when the real estate market crashes and people are foreclosed upon?

The game is still the same. This way, the transfer of wealth is at least not taking place.

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Even the other discussion about lawyers, they occupy a lot of city space in the US. If they are seriously reduced, that will free up a lot of space.

This is true even in India and there are hell lot of lawyers here lol but still the amount of pending cases is huge , like literally , very very huge .

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That is true , the cities in India is filled up and there is literally no more space for new buildings . The WFH culture can help Indian cities to decongest a bit .

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I also like to have "Mobility" by renting. If I decided to get the hell out of the country next week, it wouldn't be a lot of trouble because I don't have a large portion of my money "stuck" in a house right now.

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Same here. Being tied to a property does take away some of that freedom. It takes time to liquidate plus the expenses involved eat up a bit of the sale.

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Many learned that the hard way in the last economic collapse. They could not relocate easily in search of jobs since they were tied to a geographic area with the house.

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During your service years , did you work overseas ?

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Yes. Quite a bit actually.

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Exactly , the concept of "stay at one place" is becoming obsolete nowadays , atleast in my opinion .

I would rather spend money on something else than house .

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I rent because I live in an expensive city and I want to move to another city eventually, but I would like to buy/build my own house in the near future

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Building is also an option... I don't really want to do that but my dad is crazy about it. He has built 3 houses in his lifetime and I don't doubt he will build a 4th one one day

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Lol , for investment purpose or he just likes it ?

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He just really loves it!

He loves doing the calculations, drawings all that stuff

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That's good to hear hehe . Gotto have some passion in something right ?

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Make sure you go the 3D printed route so its cheaper. You just got to buy the land I guess.

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I'll obviously opt for the most cost effective method :)

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I would like to buy/build my own house in the near future

That's good to hear but where do you feel comfortable building you house ? Outskirts or in the city ( provided you get the land in the city lol )

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in a nice suburb not far from the city would be ideal :) not a fan of long commutes :P

Exactly :) That's ideal .

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People getting into 30 years mortgages might have an asset that costs a heap load more than what future building might cost.

Totally agree with you on this one . That is why I hesitate a lot on taking long-term loans especially housing loans .

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I rent, buying is not a good idea, at least not over here, especially now that the real estate market is going through a lot of uncertainty.

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Yea I don't think its a good time to buy. Before the lockdowns, I would of said it was fine to go buy a house but the economy is just too much unknowns right now.

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True but don't you think the risk might pay off huge ?

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I am unsure since 3D printing is starting to take off. If you buy a house now and the building costs decrease then the prices of houses drop.

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Oh I meant to say just the site ( meaning without any building )

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Yea land will always be good but you are probably still liable for taxes to the government.

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Yeah but property tax isn't huge here and they rarely collect it properly lol .

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Probably... real estate is known to be a solid investment, it's just not for me. I prefer other approaches

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Well here it is a good investment right now . Many are selling their property due to COVID ( because of the need of money ) and the rich people are just grabbing them .

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I don't know much about land and property but what I know is over here, there are so much available land for sale. So I prefer building one then renting it out to people. That too can serve as a means of income.

You can get a land here for $1000 or maybe less in some rural areas. This is one of my goals in life. To buy a land in a school environment, build an hostel and rent out to students who wants to live outside school campus.

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I think its great if its cheap in your area. I think the biggest issue that its far too expensive for land in the US.

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Here in India , it depends .

Outskirts - land is cheap right now .

City - way too expensive .

Transitional areas- very good opportunity to invest if we get a good price .

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I would do this too. In this part of the world it's more reasonable to buy and rent out to people, especially in a student area. Also for myself I'd prefer to buy, it eliminates the risk of having issues with landlords

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Also for myself I'd prefer to buy, it eliminates the risk of having issues with landlords

Ownership also has a lot of risks too. As well as headaches.

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Yeah it does. But there is a certain peace that comes with it, owning something means you don't have to answer to anyone but yourself. I like that feeling

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Except the bank and government which can be equally as nightmarish.

Neither are fun to deal with.

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True... I sometimes think people have a false sense of security in that kind of situation.

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Yeah but tenants are not easy to handle too lol .

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😂😂 yeah, people problem.

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Yeah :p lol

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That's a great idea bro.

If you can buy a piece of land and rent it out. That's passive income. Good thing is that new students will always come every year. So the demand is going to be high.

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Hehe students will come every year ? Are you sure ? I mean look at Indian schools right now , one of the most messed up industry this year is Education

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Jeeez, I almost forgot man. This idea is definitely not Pandemic proof.

You are absolutely right. Schools are shut for a very long time. The education industry is messed up.

On the other hand, Edtech is booming since everything is going online.

I think every industry now needs to ponder upon how they can survive such situations.

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Edtech is booming since everything is going online.

Exactly .

Unacademy , Byju are taking over the education space in India .

But I don't really think it is a good idea for 1-5 classes though .

I was an external teacher for class 8-9 for 3 months and the kids didn't really learn that much through live classes lol .

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I think we will take our own time to get accustomed to such settings.

It's new for everyone but I see the culture changing.

My only problem with this model is that most Indians don't have proper access to the internet. They still depend on schools for their education. It sucks bro.

I felt so sad when I heard news of kids killing themselves because they could not attend live classes.

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Exactly , I can relate to that .

I used to struggle a lot because of poor internet connectivity , lot of service providers like BSNL and Airtel just reject providing broadband connection to my place because we live in remote area .

All this universal connectivity that we see on TV is BS .

I felt so sad when I heard news of kids killing themselves because they could not attend live classes.

Yeah :( Tough time for Indians . Well for people all over the world , but it is hitting on a different level for Indians right now .

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I was an external teacher for class 8-9 for 3 months

Must have been a great learning experience for you. 😂

Btw what did you teach?

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Computer Science :)

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That can be a good investment. Not really my kind of thing but it can be very rewarding depending on how the market is where you live.

When I was a student I rented a house outside campus and it was overpriced as hell because of the high demand, so you will probably do well with that plan.

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That is a great idea. There are the maintenance costs of being a landlord. Taxes are also another expense to be looked at.

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And headaches.

I know my landlord always has crap happening. She has a 30 unit place, and always something going on. Tenants not paying rent, destroying stuff, things breaking.

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Exactly , it is not easy being a landlord , we had a house which we have rented to someone a couple of years back and we had such a hard time collecting the rent . The tenant used to come up with one or the other excuse every single time , eventually we sold the house lol

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That is what many overlook. Being a landlord can be a nightmare. The rent moritorium is really messing with small landlords now.

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I felt sorry for my landlord when I was in college... we lived in a big house shared by 13 stupid college kids. We wrecked the place hard

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Lol really ? 13 kids ? How many rooms ?

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Exactly . If I ever rent out my house , I would make sure I give it to a person who is honest . Even if it is for less amount .

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Buying a house is not a great idea if you are going to live in it. It will only suck out more money from your pockets.

Rent :)

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It depends. For people starting to get their cash flow going, you can always got a mixed rent/live route. By doing so, it may be cheaper than just outright renting but it does come with its own risk.

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Depends on where you buy the house actually . If you see outskirts of Bangalore , lot of good opportunity to invest .

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Yes, for investment purposes it's definitely a buyers market, and thanks (unfortunately) to covid, you can get great deals.

But if you are taking debt to buy a house where you are going to live, it's a bad expense then.

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But if you are taking debt to buy a house where you are going to live, it's a bad expense then.

True but I have decided not to do that . I would never take a loan for such a huge amount just to buy a house.

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I have done that mistake myself but at least I had a house previously from where I WAS getting rent, until COVID took over. My wife was so adamant about buying our OWN house and I could not convince her because I was stupid back then.

So it's a bad investment which I regret now. But it's okay, at least I learned and I will never suggest anyone do to the same.

This is the general rule I follow now: If I have the money to buy 'two' of the same thing, only then I think of buying one.

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This is the general rule I follow now: If I have the money to buy 'two' of the same thing, only then I think of buying one.

That's a good rule to be honest . I like that .

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I read that in a book about personal finance. Don't remember which one. Good that I still remember the rule 😜

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I currently rent. If I had a family it might have been different.

When one buys a home they do not only have a mortgage to pay, but also insurance, property taxes, school taxes (whether one has children or not), maintenance, and a variety of other costs.

Here in Pennsylvania it is extremely expensive to own a home. Sure one builds equity, but I do not really think it is worth all the costs associated with home ownership.

Renting also has drawbacks but, given my financial situation, it makes the most sense.

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Yea its tough without a decent amount saved up. Renting just makes sense given the current prices.

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You might acquire equity but, if you have a mortgage, you have to time it properly. Yes markets can run up but they also go down.

And that interest rate keeps piling up. The truth in lending statement would open up some eyes if people actually read it.

And let us not forget that over 15 years, you will have to replace a bunch of expensive stuff like AC, water heater, appliances and, perhaps, a roof and some windows.

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I currently own so this doesn't apply to me but if I am faced with this situation here in my country , I would go with renting because buying in a town is way too expensive .

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Responding with sincerity, I think that renting today is much better. But today if I had comfortable financial conditions I would buy a house :)

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Yea I think having an actual house is better for comfort. You know you won't have to deal with any landlords and you are in control of what happens.

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Yes, for those who have a family, it is even more acceptable to have a home of your own. But I know that there are people with families who prefer rent. Each one see which is the best for you :)

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I disagree. Always buy, looking for the best clear price. I am of that maxim that "the best investment on earth is land" and that despite abusive taxes.

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Yea but I think one of the biggest issue is that you can't really fight increases in property taxes. I just can't see it as a very good choice currently when the deficits are so huge.

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Yes, but even with taxes, I think the risk-benefit ratio is good. Governments change, the uses of real estate as well, but land is limited and unfortunately we are more and more. 8,000 million people, when we reach 30,000 million we better have a couple more planets because otherwise we all know what will happen.

You do realize we are facing population reduction throughout the rest of this century.

There is plenty of land available so I think you might want to update your metrics.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total_fertility_rate

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Hopefully I'm wrong. This is not what has happened so far and the developing countries continue to increase the population. The so-called western countries with low birth rates example "Europe" increases its population via immigration.
But like I said, hopefully I'm wrong.

The so-called western countries with low birth rates example "Europe" increases its population via immigration.
But like I said, hopefully I'm wrong.

That is true but the immigrants have to come from somewhere and that is the developing world which pulls more out of their countries.

Plus birth rates are slowing in those countries too. Still higher than the developed world but half of what they were 25 years ago.

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"the best investment on earth is land"

You can't say this in Russia :)

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What do you mean? Russia is one of the largest producers of raw materials on earth, it has some of the strongest real estate markets. Governments steal in Russia and elsewhere, and if you have friends in the government or any other local establishment, the investment will be incredibly profitable. If, on the other hand, you have enemies, in some places you may lose more than an investment.

I think you didn't get my point :p I was going for , land isn't yours permanently in Russia unlike here in India .

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Okay! now I understand you.

Is that so? I didnt know about that

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Yeah , you can take a lease for 99 years or so . after that it goes back to government if your kids don't renew . Well the ultimate owners are government itself .

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Right at this time I own my own home, since my husband passed and if I was totally living alone on my own I would just rent. As it goes at this moment in time I can't just get up and leave. I first have to see if I can sell the house I am in, then see if I can get help to move out. As I am older it is to much trouble to maintain a home. If you own your own home one has to pay for property tax twice a year, find someone to help take care of the yard up keep. Plus if any repair work needs done on house itself then as home owner I have to find someone to help with that. Of course you do run into bad landlords who refuse to fix anything when you are a renter. The good part of owning my own home is that inside my own home I can pretty much do whatever I want. I can have animals such as cats or dogs if I want when renting you have to ask the landlord if you can have them or not. Any way that is my take on having a house.

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