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RE: Daily Crypto Markets Live Blog: Decentralized Finance Is Taking Over (09/11/21)

in LeoFinance4 years ago

Isn't the difference between demand pull inflation and central bank-induced inflation the fact that former is more limited in its effects than the latter? Hyperinflation as what happened in Weimar Republic Germany after World War I and in Zimbabwe earlier in the 21st Century was made possible by central bank interventions; no amount of demand pull inflation could have caused them.

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In practice, all inflation originates with the central banks

My comment was addressed to this statement you made.

no amount of demand pull inflation could have caused them.

While this is true so far in our history, the world has yet to see a total collapse of production units. Should there come a time production becomes impossible for whatever reason, just watch inflation kick in for the goods that do remain in the system. Economics 101 - no supply with a demand present equals an infinite price.

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My fear is that we may be the poor suckers to witness that event.

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I would submit that the US inflation issues of the 1970s and going into the early 80s was caused more by other forces outside of monetary policy.

The fact that we saw an oil embargo when the US was totally dependent upon OPEC caused a rippling effect through the economy. This caused the price of everything to go up since oil was at the core of most all economic activity in some way.

Also, the idea of hyperinflation is any currency outside some small nation is impossible. Technology is simply too much a part of the global economy, and it is growing.

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One other event in the early 1970s contributed to the economic woes which accompanied the OPEC oil embargoes: the abandonment of the gold standard by the United States (closing the "gold window"). Prices increased at a small steady rate before then, but after USD went pure fiat it was off to the races for prices. It took until the mid-1980s for prices to settle down.

While there is no gold to abandon this time around, pure mathematics will bring grossly indebted economies to their knees. It can't be a good for a nation to have its national debt exceed 100% of its CGP and a significant portion of its annual budget assigned just to pay interest on the national debt.

Since USD is the world reserve currency, the United States will be brought to its knees last. The suspense comes in seeing if it chooses to undergo a controlled glide or a spectacular crash-and-burn. With the current crop of elites we have, I expect the spectacular crash-and-burn.

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