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Why does that matter? You're trying to pick up pennies in front of a steamroller, if you want to create tax liabilities trying to outtrade the market be my guest

so we should just buy and hodl?

Some times we have to transact with crypto too.

Buy and hodl bitcoin has been proven to provide the best risk-return, if you think you can beat it by all means

i think there isnt any beating it. but for practical use, what can we use?