You are absolutely right! If you want to make a difference, you must HODL for at least 1-2 cycles... Of course, not some shitcoins that will drop 99% in value, but rather solid tokens with a strong use case...
And regarding the altcoin season... The BTC dominance is at a 4-year high at these moments, and I'm not sure how much it can go up... Which means, the probabilities of seeing it going down are growing, and that is the main sign of alts starting to go up... It looks like some quality alts already began to move...
Let's see what the rest of this year will bring!
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