Expectations are rarely valuable. Market consensus in forecasting, especially with things such as earnings, are often awry.
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Expectations are rarely valuable. Market consensus in forecasting, especially with things such as earnings, are often awry.
That's a fair point. Still, job growth beating forecasts can show a resilient labor market, possibly boosting consumer confidence. Curious about your thoughts on how this might shape inflation trends in the longer term
Obviously labor is a major component of inflation, with wage inflation often occurring. Does this happen in the age of advancing technology which is deflationary?
Plus we have the global capital flow so the US being strong could be an indicator of shifts from other countries.
Tech's deflationary force can partly offset wage pressure, but certain sectors may still experience cost pushes. Global capital flow adds another layer, suggesting regional dynamics will shape inflation trends over time
Strong employment numbers do provide a case for wages remaining strong and a demand on workers.
It will be interesting to see the next GDP numbers. Do you know what the last reading in US GDP was?
Last GDP reading for Q1 2023 was around a 2% annualized growth rate, giving us a snapshot amid recent volatility. It will be interesting to see how forthcoming data refines this perspective
That data is severely dated.
Here is the latest GDP figure:
Thanks for the updated data. A slight contraction may point to short-term headwinds, but we're still seeing various underlying factors at play. It's time to watch subsequent quarters for clearer trends
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