The technological curves could mean they come down quickly. It is easy for a business to justify $50K for a robot. In the developed countries, that is less than one year salary for a worker.
Not sure... Sometimes, I think companies always find ways to spend less money enslaving people, and they can't do the "spend less money" part on robot.
I'd say after 2030... They're still too expensive, and they'll stay expensive for a while. Human workers can be exploited further still...
The technological curves could mean they come down quickly. It is easy for a business to justify $50K for a robot. In the developed countries, that is less than one year salary for a worker.
Not sure... Sometimes, I think companies always find ways to spend less money enslaving people, and they can't do the "spend less money" part on robot.
Automation has a long record of machines and computers replacing humans. Look at car factories compared to 40 years ago...a lot less people.
I guess so... Would be mindblowing if it did happen in just 5 years, though.
The one to watch is China. Nobody is sure how quickly they are implementing robots into their manufacturing.
We should know how things are progressing by the middle of next year. Scaling, or the lack of, will be evident by then.
Yeah... Seeing how quickly things will change in a year will be good indication for how it'll be in the four years after that.
We're not talking about Robots being used more in factories right? We're talking about them becoming commonplace, which I know won't be as easy.
I think the bigger issue is scaling production. How quickly does that happen?