Where did that 50% projection come from?
Is that your forecast or did you get that from Musk (or someone else)?
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Where did that 50% projection come from?
Is that your forecast or did you get that from Musk (or someone else)?
That's my own projection based on current trends in robotics and AI adoption rates. I’m estimating that with exponential growth, we could hit 50% automation of manual labor by 2035. No direct quote from Musk, just my analysis of the trajectory
Ah ok.
Do you foresee white collar jobs being eliminated at a rate that outpaces those of blue collar?
Many speculate this is the case.
I think white-collar jobs might face faster disruption due to AI's ability to automate cognitive tasks like analysis and decision-making. Blue-collar automation is progressing, but physical dexterity is still a hurdle. By 2040, we could see a major shift in office roles
I agree. My view is that AI will move much faster than robotics simply because bits are easier to deal with as opposed to atoms.
We are looking at exponential capabilities on the AI models.
Totally agree, AI's exponential growth outpaces robotics since bits scale faster than atoms. We're already seeing models double in capability every 18 months. By 2030, cognitive automation could redefine most industries