What is the pace of generative ai and GPU capability? how quickly is the capacity growing?
The pace of development in generative AI and GPU capabilities has been rapid and is continuing to accelerate. Here's an overview of the growth in these areas:
Generative AI:
Model size and complexity:
- Doubling approximately every 6-12 months
- Example: GPT-3 had 175 billion parameters in 2020, while GPT-4 is estimated to have trillions
Performance improvements:
- Significant leaps in capabilities with each new model generation
- Improvements in areas like coherence, context understanding, and task performance
Multimodal capabilities:
- Rapid expansion from text-only to image, audio, and video generation
- Increasing integration of different modalities