Iran doves within the administration and their allies are making the same disingenuous arguments that John Kerry and the gang made during the Obama administration — that the only alternative to a deal is a world war. In reality, an Israeli-led strike on Iran’s nuclear program would not trigger another world war, nor is it akin to the U.S. invasion of Iraq. It is likely to be closer to the 1981 Israeli attack on Iraq’s Osirak nuclear reactor. Trump should understand this. In 2020, when he rightly ordered the strike that killed Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commander Qasem Soleimani, the reactions were so hysterical that the terms “Franz Ferdinand” and “World War III” were trending online, and yet Iran avoided a major escalation that it could ill afford. The same calculation would be likely to hold this time.
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