Four year cycle update and what comes next
Here's a table of BTC's price peaks.
Price Peak Date Days Since Halving Days Since Last Peak Bear Drawdown
Nov 30, 2013 368 -85%
Dec 16, 2017 525 1477 -84%
Nov 9, 2021 547 1424 -77%
Oct 7, 2025 535 1428 ?
In the short term BTC follows tech stocks and other factors, but long term the four year cycle has been surprisingly consistent. This could all be coincidence, but I think it's a self fulfilling prophesy at this point.
What do you think we should expect, a crash or a Boom?
Fascinating look at the four-year cycle. Historically, these peaks are followed by significant drawdowns, so a crash wouldn't surprise me. But with growing adoption, we might see a softer correction this time. Market sentiment feels mixed right now