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RE: HBD, Arbitrage, And The Internal Exchange

in LeoFinance2 years ago

Interesting article and different point of views for Hive, HBD and liquidity.

I am onboard with most of these but I was having nightmare about a particular scenario. If people lose trust in stablecoins due to let's say UST being a Ponzi that exploded. HBD might lose its PEG for a few days let's say at $0.6/0.7.

Investors and users might then convert their HBD to Hive to get 1$ worth. Therefore as soon as they would get Hive, they might dump it. which would put HIVE down and less trust into HBD.

What are your thoughts on this? This is a catastrophic scenario and I own HBD in savings and LPs, so not a bearish investor here :D

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A few things pertaining to this:

  • The HBD stabilizer is always at work so it is out there working to prevent such as massive drop. As the selling begins, it is buying, an increasing amount with each leg down.

  • The haircut limit is still in place meaning there is only so much that can be redeemed.

  • We have a lot of whales who are now watching this situation. If there was a lot of dumping, they could help to reverse the selloff by jumping in and picking up some cheap

  • This situation is looking at HBD through the limited lens. It is natural since we do not have use cases. That is why development of commerce surrounding HBD (utility) is crucial. In that area, people will have less incentive to use the conversion mechanism because they will not care.

  • Here is where time locked vaults really come into play. When taking our yield seekers and giving them incentive to lock up HBD, the threat of conversion is reduced.

  • Finally, as more non Hive people enter, most are not going to know or care about the conversion mechanism. They are looking for the 20%. So, if they decide to exit, they will do so through exchanges and LPs. The conversion feature will used, for the most part, by big players. This is what some of the security features are meant to impeded.

By the way, do not be surprised to see a fee similar to the one on the upside proposed for conversions. This would help deter the ability to manipulate on the downside too.

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