You really cannot make money breaking those boxes, the odds are definitely not in your favor. Better go for group breaks, at least you can go for the teams you like. Card market really has gone down a lot, but its still way up from 2018-19 levels.
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Yeah it's crazy. We used to be able to clear out Walmart. Crack the boxes. Grade the cards and make 2k a month on card without much work.
Who do you collect? For me its Luka and Shaq. I follow the Mavs.