And if the creators of artificial intelligence themselves were saying loud and clear that you have no idea what's coming, it's not a conspiracy theory or a movie script, it's a warning from two of the most influential names in the world of technology, Mo Gawdat, former business director at Google X, and Jeffrey Hinton, one of the three humans considered to be the father of AI and a Nobel Prize winner.
A year after receiving the award for the work that helped lay the foundations of modern AI, Hinton changed his tune, now saying that the very technology he helped develop could surpass and dominate its creators. According to him, big tech companies are advancing too quickly, competition between countries makes it impossible to slow down, and perhaps the world will only wake up to the danger after an AI Chernobyl moment, a disaster so great that it will no longer be possible to pretend that everything is fine.
In Hinton's version, we are in a technological arms race very similar to that of the atomic bomb. Even if one country wants to slow down, another will accelerate further. Companies are doing the same, creating a chain reaction: more models, more capacity, more power, and less time to discuss limits, rules, and security.
He believes that artificial superintelligence smarter than any human in virtually everything could emerge in 10 to 20 years, and then the question will no longer be “what can AI do for us?” but rather “will it still need us?” Hinton is very direct when he talks about work, that idea that, as has always happened throughout history, technology destroys jobs but creates others, may not apply this time.
AI is not just automating muscles as in the industrial revolution; it is automating intelligence, especially mundane intellectual work, reviewing contracts, responding to emails, writing reports, analyzing data. He gives an example: a person with AI can do the work of 5 to 10 people. The result is not that it will steal your job, but that one person using AI will replace several, and that's where the uncomfortable detail comes in. Hintan says that careers involving complete physical manipulation, such as plumbers, could be safer than prestigious professions such as lawyers or legal assistants, because it is much easier to train a model to draft a legal opinion than to repair a complicated pipe and an old building.
At the same time he warns, if nothing is done this revolution will brutally increase inequality creating very unpleasant societies with a few increasingly rich machine owners and a multitude of people left behind, on the other hand, Mo Gawdat reaches a similar conclusion, but with a different curve, he says that the next 15 years will be the most chaotic in the history of humanity, economy faltering, jobs disappearing, power structures being rewritten and even human leaders being replaced by systems of They make faster and more rational decisions than entire governments, but after that storm, he sees an almost utopian scenario, a world where almost everything is cheap, practically free, because super intelligent machines do most of the work.
But since there is always a gigantic “but”, to get to that better future, we have to survive the transition, that means discussing things like universal basic income, new ways of distributing wealth and above all how to guarantee that superintelligent systems remain aligned with human values.
Hinton insists that we should now make a gigantic effort in AI security research, not as a marketing detail, but as a global priority with cooperation between countries, companies and governments and therein lies the provocation that both launch directly or indirectly.
Who is in charge today? CEOs, politicians, sector leaders, business owners. Are you guiding your organization to navigate this revolution with social responsibility and safety? Or you just try to win the AI race at any cost. And for you who are reading this, do you think we are walking towards an era of technological abundance or towards an abyss of unemployment and inequality? And a final question: where does your work fit into this story?
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