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RE: Overwhelming FOMO... Is Bad for You!

in Discovery-it2 months ago

One thing I have come to realize is that the biggest correlation ETH and BTC has with is the money supply. Any interest rate cut could have massive implications.

https://inflationchart.com/eth-in-m3

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Just curious, when in September does Fed announce its decision on the interest rate?

You can check them along withe the prediction market bets here: https://polymarket.com/dashboards/fed-rates

Thanks! Looks like the betters expect a 25bps rate cut in mid-September, which would be good for crypto.

Yes, but somewhat high interest rates are needed to keep the market from speculating on too many bad investments. Theres is a good chance that very low interest rates could mark the blow up top for this bull market. 25 BPS cut will not do much. We are at 4.5%. Anything under 1% will be very dangerous IMHO.

We are pretty far from 1%! Even if Trump manages to replace Powell sooner rather than later, I don't think we'll get that low this cycle. And I agree, very low interest rates will make more funds available for risky investments, which will push prices up in a spiral, and then crash them. Kind of what we expect in crypto anyway...

I'll be happy if I get to setup a $200/month passive income in stablecoins before the crash. I can manage daily expenses with that money and not worry about selling during the bear market.

How do you spend stables? Topping up a Visa debit card / withdrawing to bank? Not enough ways to spend them directly yet, afaik...